Main eventFlyweightSat, Sep 199:00 PM ET

Alexandre PantojavsJoshua Van

Our read

PantojaVan

48%52%

From the corner

Pantoja's the champ for a reason, grinding wrestling and top control with real submission threat, but Joshua Van is young, fast, and throws nearly twice as many strikes with sharper accuracy. This is close to a pick'em: experience and clinch grappling against youth and a busier pace, so the price looks fair as is.

What beats it

If Van stuffs the early takedowns and keeps this standing, his busy hands could pile up rounds before Pantoja ever gets him down.

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PantojaTale of the tapeVan

30–6
Record: 17–2; 36
Age: 24; 165cm
Height: 165cm; 170cm
Reach: 165cm; 0
Win streak: 7; 4.38
Strikes / min: 8.43; 50%
Strike accuracy: 57%; 2.79
Takedowns / 15m: 0.82; 47%
Takedown accuracy: 61%; 1.0
Sub attempts / 15m: 0.2

Markets

Best price highlighted

Winner

NEUTRAL

48%Pantoja wins

DraftKings: +114/-135
FanDuel: +106/-136
BetMGM: +110/-135