HeavyweightSat, Sep 197:00 PM ET

Robelis DespaignevsTai Tuivasa

Our read

DespaigneTuivasa

55%45%

From the corner

Despaigne's got a massive reach and height edge over Tuivasa and comes in with a perfect finishing habit at 5-2, while Tuivasa's chin and cardio have been serious question marks the last few years as his knockout losses piled up. Tuivasa hits with more volume but Despaigne's power and length at this range can close the show early if he lands first. The books are leaning hard on Tuivasa's name value and UFC experience, but this looks closer to a coinflip with a slight edge to the bigger man.

What beats it

If Tuivasa gets inside that reach and lands first with his heavier hands, this ends fast in his favor given Despaigne's thinner high-level resume.

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DespaigneTale of the tapeTuivasa

5–2
Record: 15–10; 37
Age: 33; 201cm
Height: 188cm; 213cm
Reach: 191cm; 0
Win streak: 0; 2.11
Strikes / min: 3.37; 59%
Strike accuracy: 48%; 0.00
Takedowns / 15m: 0.00; 0%
Takedown accuracy: 0%; 0.0
Sub attempts / 15m: 0.0

Markets

Best price highlighted

Winner

LEAN

55%Despaigne wins

DraftKings: -700/+500
FanDuel: -850/+500
BetMGM: -650/+475

Over 1.5 rounds

No read yet

DraftKings: +200/-270