Winner
FADE16%Menifield wins
- DraftKings
- +195/-238
- FanDuel
- +200/-265
- BetMGM
- +180/-220
Menifield's power and reach edge are real, but he's 38, only riding a one-fight winning run, and he's never been a busy, high-paced striker. Baraniewski is unbeaten at 9-0, young, and throws nearly three times as many strikes per minute with sharper accuracy, the kind of pressure and pace that tends to wear down older punchers over three rounds. This has the feel of a fading veteran stepping in with a hungry, faster-handed prospect who should pile up work while staying out of danger.
If Menifield lands his one big shot early, he can end the fight before Baraniewski's pace and volume ever take over.