Winner
LEAN44%Ferreira wins
- DraftKings
- +136/-162
- FanDuel
- +132/-170
- BetMGM
- +135/-165
Shahbazyan is the younger man with a five-inch reach and height edge, better takedown accuracy, and enough pop to keep this standing where his length matters. Ferreira brings live grappling and submission threat, but at 33 with three losses already, the physical gifts favor Shahbazyan in a close striking exchange. Books have this leaning Shahbazyan and the tape backs that up more than a pure coin flip.
If Ferreira closes distance and gets this to the mat early, his submission rate turns the reach disadvantage irrelevant fast.