LightweightSat, Sep 199:00 PM ET

Arman TsarukyanvsMauricio Ruffy

Our read

TsarukyanRuffy

72%28%

From the corner

Tsarukyan's wrestling is the whole story here — 3+ takedowns per fifteen against a guy with zero takedown defense reps to show and no ground game to speak of. Ruffy's got the reach and the flashy standup, but if this hits the mat it's Arman's world, and championship-level grappling usually says the word in these fights. Ruffy is still unproven against this level of pressure and durability.

What beats it

If Ruffy's length and power keep this standing and he tags Arman early, his sharper accuracy could turn this into a shootout Tsarukyan doesn't want.

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TsarukyanTale of the tapeRuffy

23–3
Record: 14–2; 29
Age: 30; 170cm
Height: 180cm; 183cm
Reach: 191cm; 5
Win streak: 2; 3.85
Strikes / min: 4.19; 50%
Strike accuracy: 57%; 3.26
Takedowns / 15m: 0.00; 37%
Takedown accuracy: 0%; 0.1
Sub attempts / 15m: 0.0

Markets

Best price highlighted

Winner

LEAN

72%Tsarukyan wins

DraftKings: -290/+235
FanDuel: -340/+250
BetMGM: -300/+240