HeavyweightSat, Sep 197:00 PM ET

Gable StevesonvsSean Sharaf

Our read

StevesonSharaf

90%10%

From the corner

Steveson brings Olympic gold pedigree wrestling and a heavyweight frame that's tough for anyone to deal with on the mat, and Sharaf has never faced anything close to that level of grappling pressure. Sharaf's stats show modest volume and a low takedown accuracy, nothing that suggests he can stop a dominant wrestler from imposing his will. This is a big favorite for a reason, and there's nothing in Sharaf's tape that flips that script.

What beats it

If Steveson's cardio or MMA layoff shows and this drags into deep water, Sharaf's length and durability could let him steal a round or find a mistake late.

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StevesonTale of the tapeSharaf

4–0
Record: 4–2; 26
Age: 32; 180cm
Height: 191cm; 188cm
Reach: 196cm; 1
Win streak: 0; 16.29
Strikes / min: 7.41; 71%
Strike accuracy: 43%; 0.00
Takedowns / 15m: 0.93; 0%
Takedown accuracy: 11%; 0.0
Sub attempts / 15m: 0.0

Markets

Best price highlighted

Winner

NEUTRAL

90%Steveson wins

DraftKings: -1800/+1000
FanDuel: -1800/+800
BetMGM: -2000/+950

Over 1.5 rounds

No read yet

DraftKings: +325/-475